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Bitcoin Rally Hits a Speed Breaker at $6,750

Bitcoin (BTC) needs to overcome a key technical resistance to keep the short-term bull market going, the technical studies indicate.

The leading cryptocurrency rose to $6,785 on Bitfinex on Wednesday – the highest level since June 22 and looked set to test the psychological hurdle of $7,000, as suggested by Monday’s bullish breakout.

However, the bulls failed to muster enough momentum to cross $6,754 (23.6 percent Fibonacci retracement of the drop from $9,990 to $5,755) on a daily closing basis (as per UTC), establishing the Fibonacci level as a stiff resistance.

Further, a detailed look at the technical charts reveals the area around $6,754 is packed with moving average lines and Bollinger Band, all working in unison to put brakes on BTC price rally.

Hence, a convincing break above the resistance needs to happen soon, else a price pullback could be in the offing. 

At press time, BTC is changing hands at $6,620 on Bitfinex.

4-hour chart

The above chart shows:

  • The upper Bollinger Band (standard deviation of +2,2 on 20-candle moving average) is located at $6,570, the 200-candle moving average (MA) is seen at $6,717, and the 23.6 percent Fibonacci retracement is located at $6,754.
  • Bollinger Bands are sloping upwards in favor of the bulls.
  • BTC is trading above 50-candle MA and 100-candle MA and both MAs are trending north (biased to the bulls).
  • The cryptocurrency has created a rising channel-like structure. (bullish setup).

Clearly, the odds are stacked in favor of a convincing move above the resistance zone of $6,717-$6,770. The bullish setup in the daily chart also favors a rally to $7,000.

However, if BTC fails to pick up a bid in the next few hours, the focus will likely shift to the bearish price-relative strength index (RSI) divergence seen in the 4-hour chart. In this case, the rising channel could be breached to the downside, triggering a deeper pullback in BTC prices. 

View

  • An aggressive move above the resistance zone of $6,717 – $6,770 would add credence to the bullish setup in the 4-hour and daily chart and would allow a rally to $7,000.
  • The focus would shift to the bearish RSI divergence (seen in the 4-hour chart) if BTC fails to cut through the resistance zone of $6,717-$6,770 in the next few hours. In this case, prices could fall back to $6,330 (50-candle MA on 4-hour chart).
  • A close below $6,275 (Monday’s low) would abort the bullish view.

The leader in blockchain news, CoinDesk is a media outlet that strives for the highest journalistic standards and abides by a strict set of editorial policies. CoinDesk is an independent operating subsidiary of Digital Currency Group, which invests in cryptocurrencies and blockchain startups.


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